Typhoon #Kajiki (19W) – Tropical Cyclone Advisory #8: 1200 UTC 25 August 2025

Kajiki still a typhoon as it moves inland over north central Vietnam.

Author

Will Weaver
August 25, 2025

…Kajiki still a typhoon as it moves inland over north central Vietnam…

Himawari-9 infrared satellite image (Weathernerds)

Current storm information:

  • Position: 18.4°N 105.8°E

  • Movement: W at 8 knots (15 km/h)

  • Intensity: 80 knots (150 km/h) [Cat 1]

  • Central pressure: 974 hPa

Trend:

  • Rapid weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours. Kajiki should weaken to a tropical storm later tonight and a tropical depression early on Tuesday.

Watches and warnings:

  • There are no land-based watches or warnings in effect.

Hazards affecting land:

  • Extremely dangerous and life-threatening conditions are expected to occur in portions of north and central Vietnam. Heavy rain and damaging winds are likely, and the rainfall could cause severe flooding. This rainfall will spread inland over Vietnam and into Laos and Thailand through midweek. For additional information and warnings, refer to products from your local weather office.

Discussion:

Satellite and radar imagery indicates that the eye of Kajiki made landfall in north central Vietnam south of Vinh at around 0700 UTC, with an intensity of 90 kts. Since landfall, Kajiki’s structure remains fairly intact, although the eye has become cloud-filled and less distinct and dry air has infiltrated the circulation to the north of the center. The typhoon continues to produce intense convection mainly to the south of the center, organized into discrete bands with impressive radial outflow. Given that Kajiki’s structure really has not decayed very much, the intensity is lowered to a potentially generous 80 kts.

Although Kajiki has managed to maintain its structure up to now, it will soon be passing over much more rugged terrain. This should significantly disrupt the typhoon’s structure and lead to even more rapid weakening during the next day or two. Kajiki should weaken to a tropical storm within the next few hours, and a tropical depression on Tuesday. Most of the available model guidance shows Kajiki decaying into a trough over northern Thailand by Tuesday evening.

Forecast positions and maximum winds

  • 00 hrs: 18.4°N 105.8°E – 80 kts inland

  • 12 hrs: 19.0°N 103.7°E – 35 kts inland

  • 24 hrs: 19.5°N 101.8°E – 25 kts inland

  • 48 hrs: Dissipated

JMA forecast map

One last thing…

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