Typhoon Fung-wong (32W/Uwan) – Tropical Cyclone Advisory #10: 0300 UTC 8 November 2025

Fung-wong gradually intensifying as it continues approaching the Philippines... Expected to be a massive rainfall threat for a large portion of the Philippines late this weekend...

Author

Will Weaver
November 07, 2025

…Fung-wong gradually intensifying as it continues approaching the Philippines… …Expected to be a massive rainfall threat for a large portion of the Philippines late this weekend…

Replace this image with a current satellite image of the storm (Source)

Current storm information:

  • Position: 12.7°N 131.3°E

  • Movement: W at 15 knots (25 km/h)

  • Intensity: 80 knots (150 km/h)

  • Central pressure: 965 hPa

Trend:

  • Steady strengthening is likely during the next 24 hours.

Watches and warnings:

PAGASA wind signal map (click to enlarge)

  • TCWS #2 (Philippines): Catanduanes, Northern Samar (province), northeastern Samar (province), northern Eastern Samar (province)

  • TCWS #1 (Philippines): All of the Philippines from the Babuyan Islands southward to the northern portions of the Central and Eastern Visayas, as well as the Calamian Islands. Refer to the graphic for specific locations.

Hazards affecting land:

  • Fung-wong’s enormous size will likely result in a significant rainfall and flooding threat across much of the Philippines late this weekend through Monday, with typhoon conditions possible in Catanduanes and portions of the Bicol Region and central Luzon. Portions of northern and central Luzon could see storm total rainfall as high as 500 mm, especially in mountainous areas, while portions of the Bicol Region and Catanduanes could see up to 250 mm. Metro Manila and vicinity, as well as the Central and Eastern Visayas could see up to 150 mm. This rainfall will likely cause widespread flooding and landslides. For additional information, refer to products from your local weather office.

Discussion:

The steady intensification trend of Fung-wong has continued this morning, and the typhoon has finally begun clearing out an extremely large eye approximately 80 nautical miles (140 km) in diameter. This eye is ragged and mostly cloud-filled, and microwave satellite imagery indicates that the eyewall is open on its southwestern side, which is not a structure one would associate with a rapidly strengthening system. The convection is very, very intense with extremely cold cloud tops approaching -100°C in the southern semicircle. Notably, the poleward outflow channel is gradually becoming reestablished as the trough that had been shearing Fung-wong earlier has lifted out and the shear has decreased. The wind field remains quite large, and near-gale winds are very close to Catanduanes and Samar despite Fung-wong being centered well to the east. The intensity is increased to 80 kts, hedged between Dvorak estimates of T4.5 to T5.0. The automated CIMSS ADT and D-PRINT tools are having trouble assessing the system due to its very large size and very cold convection.

Although the HWRF and HAFS-A models continue to insist on Fung-wong becoming a Category 5 before reaching the Philippines, it is getting to the point where a lot would need to happen for that to be the case. Most of the other guidance suggests a more gradual rate of intensification, and the environment should be favorable for it, so some intensification is likely during the next 24 hours as Fung-wong moves generally west-northwestward. By midday on Sunday, however, the shear is expected to increase again and this will cause Fung-wong’s intensity to either level off or decrease before it makes landfall on Sunday evening. Regardless of the shear, Fung-wong is expected to be an intense typhoon with an enormous wind field at landfall, and much of Luzon will experience typhoon conditions Sunday night through Monday. If you live in that region, this is the time to make preparations, and you should do so quickly.

After landfall, strong shear combined with rugged terrain should cause rapid weakening, and this weakening will likely continue even after Fung-wong emerges back over water on Monday and turns northward into a weakness in the ridge. Fung-wong is likely to make another landfall in southwestern Taiwan late Tuesday or early Wednesday as a weakening tropical storm as strong shear and a northeasterly cold surge make quick work of the system, and it could dissipate outright shortly after the forecast period ends.

Forecast positions and maximum winds (1-min)

  • 000 hrs: 12.7°N 131.3°E – 80 kts 150 km/h

  • 012 hrs: 13.3°N 128.8°E – 100 kts 185 km/h

  • 024 hrs: 14.4°N 125.3°E – 115 kts 215 km/h

  • 036 hrs: 15.7°N 122.4°E – 105 kts 195 km/h

  • 048 hrs: 16.6°N 120.2°E – 65 kts 120 km/h

  • 072 hrs: 18.6°N 118.6°E – 65 kts 120 km/h

  • 096 hrs: 20.7°N 118.7°E – 50 kts 95 km/h

  • 120 hrs: 24.7°N 121.7°E – 45 kts 85 km/h

JTWC forecast map