Typhoon Fung-wong (32W/Super Typhoon Uwan) – Tropical Cyclone Advisory #12: 0000 UTC 9 November 2025

Eyewall of enormous and extremely dangerous Category 3 Fung-wong moving over Catanduanes... Landfall expected in Aurora later today... THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION!

Author

Will Weaver
November 08, 2025

…Eyewall of enormous and extremely dangerous Category 3 Fung-wong moving over Catanduanes… …Landfall expected in Aurora later today but this is inconsequential as most of Luzon will experience typhoon conditions…

This is a particularly dangerous and life-threatening situation!

Current storm information:

  • Position: 14.2°N 124.9°E

  • Movement: WNW at 15 knots (25 km/h)

  • Intensity: 110 knots (205 km/h) [Category 3]

  • Central pressure: 949 hPa

Trend:

  • Little change in strength is forecast before Fung-wong makes landfall. Fung-wong is expected to be a very large Category 3 typhoon with an extremely large wind field as it makes landfall. Rapid weakening is forecast thereafter.

Watches and warnings:

PAGASA wind signal map (click to enlarge)

  • TCWS #5 (Philippines): Catanduanes, Polillo Islands, eastern Camarines Norte, northern Camarines Sur

  • TCWS #4 (Philippines): Eastern Quezon, the rest of Camarines Norte, the rest of Camarines Sur

  • TCWS #3 (Philippines): The entirety of Luzon not under higher signals south of a line extending from the Ilocos Norte-Ilocos Sur border, southern Apayao, and southern Cagayan; Sorsogon, Ticao Island, Northern Samar, northern Samar (province), northern Eastern Samar (province)

  • TCWS #2 (Philippines): Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, northern and central Apayao, northern and central Cagayan, Occidental and Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Masbate, Biliran, northern Leyte, southern Samar, central and southern Eastern Samar

  • TCWS #1 (Philippines): Batanes Islands, Calamian Islands, Cuyo Islands, the entire island of Panay, northern Negros Occidental, northern Negros Oriental, northern and central Cebu, Bohol, southern Leyte (province), Southern Leyte (province), Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, northern Agusan del Norte, northern Surigao del Sur

Hazards affecting land:

  • Fung-wong is an extremely large and dangerous typhoon. It is expected to produce a very wide swath of typhoon conditions in Catanduanes and the Bicol Region during the next few hours, spreading across almost the entire island of Luzon later today. The exact landfall point of this system is entirely inconsequential - if you are in the TCWS #3 area, you are very likely going to experience typhoon force winds no matter how close to the center you are. Destructive winds and heavy rain are likely in these areas through midday Monday. This rainfall will likely cause widespread flooding, especially in mountainous areas. In addition, storm surge inundation is likely along eastward facing coasts of Luzon, the Bicol Region, and Catanduanes through tonight, when the threat will shift to the westward facing coasts. This is a particularly dangerous situation – refer to products from your local weather office for additional information.

Discussion:

Fung-wong’s structure has not changed all that much since the previous advisory. The typhoon continues to be extremely large, with an expansive central dense overcast more or less extending as far north as the northern coast of Luzon and as far south as the southern portions of the Central and Eastern Visayas. It also continues to sport a very large and partially cloud-filled eye about 70 mi (110 km) in diameter - the eye would be large enough to fit the entire island of Catanduanes inside it with room to spare. The CDO and eyewall are starting to show some signs of erosion as shear increases to the west - it is likely that Fung-wong has peaked in intensity. Automated estimates from CIMSS’ ADT and D-PRINT products are unrealistically high due to Fung-wong’s enormous size, intensely cold convection, and irregular eyewall structure. While these estimates range from 125 to 143 kts, manual Dvorak estimates range from T5.5 to T6.0 while RCM-3 SAR data suggests the winds are around 105 to 110 kts. The intensity is increased to 110 kts, just shy of Category 4 intensity. (PAGASA is classifying this as a super typhoon with 100 kt 10-minute winds; JMA only indicates 85 kt 10-minute winds.)

Fung-wong is currently skirting the northern coast of Catanduanes and is moving on a west-northwestward heading. On this track, it should make landfall in Aurora within the next 12 hours or so. Given that the shear is starting to increase and land interaction is becoming a factor, it is unlikely that Fung-wong will strengthen any further before then. The exact location of Fung-wong’s landfall(s) is completely inconsequential - because of the size of Fung-wong’s wind field, areas well away from the center are likely to experience typhoon force winds, and this includes most of Luzon, including Metro Manila. Winds will be stronger at higher elevations. Although Fung-wong should weaken rapidly as it crosses central Luzon, it is expected to remain a typhoon until it exits off the western coast on Monday, and tropical storm or typhoon force winds will continue to affect much of Luzon through Tuesday as Fung-wong turns northward. This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation - any necessary preparations should have been completed by now.

As Fung-wong moves northward off the northwestern coast of Luzon, very strong southwesterly shear and cold northeasterly surface flow will offset warm SSTs and result in continued rapid weakening. Fung-wong is expected to move inland over southwestern Taiwan as a weakening tropical storm on Thursday. Although there is a 120-hour forecast point, it is likely that Fung-wong will dissipate over Taiwan’s central mountain range before then.

Forecast positions and maximum winds (1-min)

  • 000 hrs: 14.2°N 124.9°E – 110 kts 205 km/h

  • 012 hrs: 15.9°N 121.9°E – 105 kts 195 km/h

  • 024 hrs: 16.7°N 119.2°E – 70 kts 130 km/h

  • 048 hrs: 18.9°N 117.9°E – 60 kts 110 km/h

  • 072 hrs: 21.3°N 118.0°E – 45 kts 85 km/h

  • 096 hrs: 24.1°N 120.8°E – 35 kts 65 km/h inland

  • 120 hrs: 24.9°N 121.6°E – 30 kts 55 km/h

JMA forecast map