Tropical Storm Nokaen (01W/Ada) – Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7: 0300 UTC 17 January 2026

Nokaen strengthens a little more as its center passes just to the east of Catanduanes...

Author

Will Weaver
January 16, 2026

…Nokaen strengthens a little more as its center passes just to the east of Catanduanes…

Himawari-9 visible satellite image (Weathernerds)

Current storm information:

  • Position: 13.8°N 124.8°E

  • Movement: NW at 10 knots (20 km/h)

  • Intensity: 45 knots (85 km/h)

  • Central pressure: 996 hPa

Trend:

  • Some slight additional strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours.

Watches and warnings:

PAGASA wind signal map (click to enlarge)

  • TCWS #2 (Philippines): Eastern Camarines Norte, central and eastern Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Catanduanes, Northern Samar

  • TCWS #1 (Philippines): Polillo Islands, central and eastern Quezon, western Camarines Norte, Romblon, Masbate, Bantayan Islands, extreme northern Cebu, Biliran, Samar, Eastern Samar, northern Leyte

Areas that should monitor this system:

This section is new for 2026 – not every agency issues local tropical cyclone watches or warnings. This is a general list of land areas that should monitor the progress of this system and plan accordingly, whether or not official tropical cyclone watches or warnings are in effect.

  • Philippines, particularly Samar, Leyte, Catanduanes, the Eastern Visayas, and the eastern Bicol Region

Hazards affecting land:

  • Although the center of Nokaen is forecast to remain away from land during the next few days, areas of heavy rainfall and occasional gusty winds and heavy surf are possible along the eastward facing coasts of Samar, Leyte, the Bicol Region, central Luzon, and Catanduanes through Sunday. This rainfall could cause localized flooding; for further information, refer to products from your local weather office.

The next advisory will be posted after 1200 UTC 17 January 2026.

Forecast positions and maximum winds (1-min)

  • 000 hrs: 13.8°N 124.8°E – 45 kts 85 km/h 

  • 012 hrs: 14.5°N 124.3°E – 50 kts 95 km/h 

  • 024 hrs: 15.3°N 124.2°E – 50 kts 95 km/h 

  • 048 hrs: 16.7°N 125.6°E – 45 kts 85 km/h 

  • 072 hrs: 17.0°N 127.3°E – 40 kts 75 km/h 

  • 096 hrs: 16.0°N 128.6°E – 35 kts 65 km/h 

  • 120 hrs: 14.2°N 128.5°E – 30 kts 55 km/h Post-tropical/remnant low

JTWC forecast map