Tropical Storm Nokaen (01W/Ada) – Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6: 1500 UTC 16 January 2026

Nokaen strengthens a little as it passes to the east of Samar...

…Nokaen strengthens a little as it passes to the east of Samar…

Himawari-9 infrared satellite image (Weathernerds)

Current storm information:

  • Position: 12.2°N 127.0°E

  • Movement: N at 8 knots (15 km/h)

  • Intensity: 40 knots (75 km/h)

  • Central pressure: 996 hPa

Trend:

  • Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours.

Watches and warnings:

PAGASA wind signal map (click to enlarge)

  • TCWS #2 (Philippines): Eastern Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Northern Samar, northeastern Samar (province), northern Eastern Samar (province)

  • TCWS #1 (Philippines): Central and eastern Quezon, Camarines Norte, western and central Camarines Sur, Masbate, Bantayan Islands, Biliran, far northern Cebu, the rest of Samar (province), central and southern Eastern Samar (province), Camotes Islands, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Dinagat Islands, Siargao, Bucas Grande Islands

Areas that should monitor this system:

This section is new for 2026 – not every agency issues local tropical cyclone watches or warnings. This is a general list of land areas that should monitor the progress of this system and plan accordingly, whether or not official tropical cyclone watches or warnings are in effect.

  • Philippines, particularly Samar, Leyte, Catanduanes, the Eastern Visayas, and the eastern Bicol Region

Hazards affecting land:

  • Although the center of Nokaen is forecast to remain away from land during the next few days, areas of heavy rainfall and occasional gusty winds and heavy surf are possible along the eastward facing coasts of Samar, Leyte, the Bicol Region, and Catanduanes through Saturday. This rainfall could cause localized flooding; for further information, refer to products from your local weather office.

The next advisory will be posted after 0000 UTC 17 January 2026.

Forecast positions and maximum winds (1-min)

  • 000 hrs: 12.2°N 127.0°E40 kts 75 km/h 

  • 012 hrs: 13.0°N 125.8°E40 kts 75 km/h 

  • 024 hrs: 13.9°N 125.2°E45 kts 85 km/h 

  • 048 hrs: 15.4°N 125.3°E40 kts 75 km/h 

  • 072 hrs: 16.3°N 127.0°E35 kts 65 km/h 

  • 096 hrs: 16.3°N 128.7°E35 kts 65 km/h 

  • 120 hrs: 15.2°N 130.0°E30 kts 55 km/h Post-tropical/remnant low

JTWC forecast map