Tropical Depression (Invest 96W / Ramil) – Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2: 0000 UTC 17 October 2025

Depression continues to move westward with no change in strength...

Author

Will Weaver
October 16, 2025

…Depression continues to move westward with no change in strength…

Himawari-8 visible satellite image (Weathernerds)

Current storm information:

  • Position: 13.5°N 131.3°E

  • Movement: W at 10 knots (20 km/h)

  • Intensity: 30 knots (55 km/h)

  • Central pressure: 1006 hPa

Trend:

  • Some slow strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours and the depression could become a tropical storm tonight or on Saturday.

Watches and warnings:

PAGASA wind signal map (click to enlarge)

  • TCWS #1 (Philippines): Eastern Quezon, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Albay, Catanduanes, northern Sorsogon, far northeastern Northern Samar

Hazards affecting land:

  • The depression is likely to produce areas of heavy rainfall over portions of Luzon and the Central and Eastern Visayas beginning on Saturday afternoon and continuing through Sunday afternoon. Most of the rainfall will occur north of the center location, and storm total rainfall of 100 to 150 mm is possible through Sunday night. This rainfall could cause localized flooding. For additional information, refer to products from your local weather office.

The next advisory will be posted after 1200 UTC 16 October 2025.

Forecast positions and maximum winds

  • 000 hrs: 13.5°N 131.3°E – 30 kts 

  • 012 hrs: 13.5°N 128.7°E – 30 kts

  • 024 hrs: 13.5°N 125.8°E – 35 kts

  • 048 hrs: 15.4°N 121.1°E – 35 kts inland

  • 072 hrs: 17.1°N 117.4°E – 35 kts over water

  • 096 hrs: 17.3°N 114.4°E – 45 kts

  • 120 hrs: 17.2°N 112.2°E – 55 kts

JMA forecast map