Severe Tropical Storm Kalmaegi (31W / Tino) – Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4: 1500 UTC 2 November 2025

Kalmaegi expected to intensify at a faster rate beginning on Monday... Wind signals raised for much of the Central and Eastern Visayas...

Author

Will Weaver
November 02, 2025

…Kalmaegi expected to intensify at a faster rate beginning on Monday… …Wind signals raised for much of the Central and Eastern Visayas…

Himawari-8 infrared satellite image (Weathernerds)

Current storm information:

  • Position: 11.3°N 131.1°E

  • Movement: W at 15 knots (25 km/h)

  • Intensity: 55 knots (100 km/h)

  • Central pressure: 992 hPa

Trend:

  • Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Kalmaegi is expected to become a typhoon on Monday.

Watches and warnings:

PAGASA wind signal map (click to enlarge)

  • TCWS #2 (Philippines): Far southeastern Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, Siargao, Bucas Grande Islands

  • TCWS #1 (Philippines): Southern Sorsogon, Ticao Island, Masbate, Northern Samar, Samar, Eastern Samar, Biliran, Capiz, central and eastern Iloilo, Guimaras, northern and central Negros Occidental and Negros Oriental, Cebu, Camotes Islands, Bohol, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Surigao del Norte, northern Agusan del Norte, northern Agusan del Sur, northern Surigao del Sur

Hazards affecting land:

  • None.Kalmaegi is likely to produce typhoon conditions - destructive winds, heavy rain, and storm surge inundation - over portions of the Central and Eastern Visayas beginning overnight Monday into Tuesday. These conditions will spread over portions of Mindoro and Palawan later on Tuesday morning. Surrounding areas could also see heavy rainfall and dangerous, gusty winds between early Tuesday morning and Tuesday evening. The heaviest rainfall should be located well to the south of the Manila area.

  • Interests in Vietnam should monitor the progress of this system. It is likely that Kalmaegi could exacerbate an already catastrophic flooding situation in the region on Thursday and Friday.

The next advisory will be posted after 0000 UTC 3 November 2025.

Forecast positions and maximum winds

  • 000 hrs: 11.3°N 131.1°E – 55 kts

  • 012 hrs: 11.1°N 128.9°E – 70 kts

  • 024 hrs: 11.0°N 126.1°E – 95 kts off Samar/Leyte coast

  • 048 hrs: 11.4°N 121.0°E – 80 kts 

  • 072 hrs: 12.7°N 115.8°E – 100 kts 

  • 096 hrs: 14.4°N 110.3°E – 115 kts

  • 120 hrs: 16.6°N 105.6°E – 35 kts Post-tropical inland

JTWC forecast map