Severe Tropical Storm Fung-wong (32W) – Tropical Cyclone Advisory #17: 1500 UTC 11 November 2025

…Fung-wong rapidly becoming disorganized as it approaches Taiwan…

Current storm information:

• Position: 20.8°N 119.3°E

• Movement: N at 5 knots (10 km/h)

• Intensity: 50 knots (95 km/h)

• Central pressure: 992 hPa

Trend:

• Continued weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Fung-wong could become a post-tropical cyclone before reaching Taiwan.24-hour strength trend goes here.

Discussion:

The northeast monsoon has made very short work of Fung-wong’s structure, and the tropical cyclone now consists of a fully exposed swirl of low clouds with the nearest convection displaced well to the northwest of the center and within the Taiwan Strait. The mid- and low-level circulations have completely decoupled and the mid-level circulation is rapidly decaying as it interacts with the northeasterly cold surge flow. The low-level circulation is almost fully embedded within dry, stable air and is not producing significant convection. Fung-wong’s wind field has contracted significantly as it loses convection and the low-level circulation spins down, but a recent ASCAT pass indicated winds of 45 to 50 kts still occurring in the northern and western portions of the system. Although most estimates support a weaker system, the intensity is set to 50 kts.

Fung-wong is now in an extremely hostile environment with very strong southeasterly shear (30 to 35 kts) and strong northeasterly monsoon flow at the surface. Fung-wong is also moving over cooler waters off the coast of Taiwan, and all these factors should combine to rapidly liberate the cyclone of its convection. The current forecast indicates Fung-wong will be a tropical storm when it makes landfall in a bit less than 24 hours, but it is very possible that Fung-wong will lose all its convection and become a post-tropical cyclone before then. After crossing Taiwan, Fung-wong should gradually turn eastward over the Yaeyama Islands and then southeastward into the Philippine Sea. However, extremely hostile environmental conditions should quickly weaken it to a remnant low (if it isn’t already post-tropical by then). Complete dissipation is expected by Saturday.

Although the forecast track indicates Fung-wong re-entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility, this is not the same as Fung-wong returning to the Philippines. Ignore any posts you see suggesting that Fung-wong is “returning” to the Philippines. 

Forecast positions and maximum winds (1-min)

• 000 hrs: 20.8°N 119.3°E – 50 kts 95 km/h

• 012 hrs: 21.5°N 119.9°E – 40 kts 85 km/h

• 024 hrs: 22.4°N 121.1°E – 35 kts 65 km/h Post-tropical

• 048 hrs: 25.1°N 126.1°E – 30 kts 55 km/h Post-tropical/remnant low

• 072 hrs: 24.7°N 131.5°E – 20 kts 35 km/h Post-tropical/remnant low

• 096 hrs: Dissipated

One last thing… 

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